The Brazilian Real appreciated roughly 4% against the US dollar, with the USD/BRL exchange rate dropping from 5.2 to 5 following Jair Bolsonaro’s lead in the election, FX Street reported. This move reflects positive market sentiment towards Bolsonaro’s potential return to power.

However, according to Commerzbank’s Norman Liebke, despite gains by Bolsonaro’s Partido Liberal and other conservative groups, the coalition is unlikely to secure outright majorities, meaning Bolsonaro will still depend on forming alliances to govern effectively.

For Japanese investors and traders, this development signals increased volatility in emerging market currencies, underlining the importance of monitoring political risks in Brazil amid shifting global economic conditions.