Societe Generale anticipates that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will initiate a mini rate-hike cycle with three consecutive 25 basis point increases. According to FX Street, Kunal Kundu from Societe Generale expects the first hike to occur in October, followed by two more similar increases in December and February.

This gradual tightening approach by the RBI reflects a cautious stance amid evolving economic conditions. The expected rate increases could influence the Indian Rupee’s performance and broader market sentiment in the region.

For Japanese investors, monitoring RBI’s monetary policy is crucial as shifts in Indian interest rates may impact currency flows and investment opportunities within Asian emerging markets.